Analysis of the factors influencing the russian stock index (using the example of the Moscow stock exchange index)

Relevance. Abstract: the relevance of this topic is due to the importance of stock index analysis for assessing the current state of the financial market and determining factors affecting the position of the Russian financial market. Stock index analysis, including the Moscow Stock Exchange Index, is of great practical importance for various financial market participants and helps them make informed decisions in investment, portfolio management and business strategy planning.

The purpose of this work is to assess the current state of the stock market by analyzing the dynamics of the stock index and assessing the factors influencing the dynamics of the stock index.

Objectives. To achieve this goal, the authors implemented the following objectives in the course of their work: Russian financial indices were considered as indicators of the state of the stock market and the financial market; the main factors influencing the state of stock indices were identified; the dynamics of stock indices was analyzed using the example of the Moscow Stock Exchange index; an analytical model of the dependence of the stock index on other macroeconomic indicators was built.

Methodology. The main research methods are the analysis and synthesis of information, a graphical method of presenting information, an economic and statistical method of researching information, and economic modeling. According to the results of the study, the main factors influencing the dynamics of the Moscow Exchange index were identified, and a correlation and regression model was developed reflecting the relationship between the Moscow Exchange index and the main factors of influence.

Results. According to the results of the study, it can be concluded that the main factors influencing the dynamics of the stock index are the gold exchange rate and the exchange rate of foreign currencies.

Conclusions. This article is devoted to the analysis of factors influencing the dynamics of the stock index (using the example of the Moscow Stock Exchange index). The paper examines the factors of influence from a theoretical point of view, as well as from a practical point of view through the construction of a correlation and regression model. The author examines the dynamics of the Moscow Stock Exchange index, as well as identifies the main factors influencing the stock index.

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