Improving the tools for dynamic modeling of regional disparities based on a multi-paradigm approach

Relevance. The intensification of the processes of economic differentiation of territories in the context of global turbulence actualizes the scientific discourse on the mechanisms of formation and overcoming of regional imbalances. The phenomenology of spatial inequality, determined by a complex of structural, institutional and market factors, acquires a special epistemological significance in the context of ensuring the sustainable development of the Russian economy. The imperfection of the existing methodological framework necessitates the development of new conceptual foundations for spatial and economic analysis.

The purpose of the study is to develop a conceptual framework and a theoretical framework for dynamic modeling of regional imbalances based on a multi-paradigm approach.

Objectives: conceptualization of the theoretical and methodological foundations of the analysis of territorial disparities; development of a multi-paradigm approach to the dynamic modeling of regional disparities; formation of a mathematical modeling apparatus reflecting the nonlinear dynamics of spatial inequality; empirical verification of the developed theoretical apparatus; formation of scientifically sound recommendations for the implementation of the results in the practice of regional management.

Methodology. The methodological basis of the research is constituted by the synthesis of spatial-temporal, systemicstructural and institutional-evolutionary approaches that form the basis of a multi-paradigm research platform. The theoretical framework includes tools for nonlinear dynamics, complex systems theory, and spatial econometrics.

Results. The conceptual foundations of dynamic modeling of regional imbalances based on the synthesis of spatial economics paradigms have been developed. A theoretical framework has been developed to identify the stochastic nature of the processes of territorial convergence and divergence in the Russian economy. The patterns of nonlinear interaction of endogenous and exogenous variables in the formation of spatial inequality are established. A multiparametric approach to predicting the dynamics of regional disparities under alternative scenarios for the implementation of the state spatial development policy is proposed.

Conclusions. The results of the study indicate the relevance of the developed conceptual framework for explaining the mechanisms of formation of regional disparities in modern conditions. The revealed patterns of spatial dynamics of economic development create theoretical prerequisites for improving the methodology for developing regional development programs. The proposed theoretical framework allows for a comprehensive assessment of various instruments of government influence on the spatial proportions of economic development in conditions of increasing complexity and uncertainty of economic processes.

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